TESLA
ALAMEDA (CA) ·
PGAE · node key TESLA · CAISO run date 2026-10-12
Seven questions a developer, lender or counsel asks before filing here. Every figure is a CAISO row; Not public marks what the public files cannot answer and where to get it. Definitions: methodology.
Can you get in?
Official Cluster 16 POI statement: CONDITIONAL — Conceptual layout modification enables new 230 kV terminals [2026-01-15]
Not public: per-constraint transmission headroom at this POI — CAISO's cluster study reports (RIMS login).
Not on this site yet: the zonal transmission-capability table CAISO publishes for cluster scoring — public; the join is planned.
Who is ahead of you?
2,280 MW (n=8)
queued ahead of a new request (legacy + C15)
1,280 MW (n=5)
with an executed interconnection agreement · public report; C15 has no IA yet
436 MW (n=2)
operating at this node
1,000 MW
Cluster 15 requests seeking full capacity
Already operating within 5 km (EIA-860): 4 plants; 408 MW nameplate; 400 MW / 1,800 MWh storage; oldest unit 2018; 82 MW proposed. Technology: Batteries 400; Solar Photovoltaic 5; Other Natural Gas 3. Operators: Costco Wholesale; Kola Energy Storage, LLC; Powerflex; Prologis Logistics Services Incorporated. Owners: ESCA-PLD-TRACY4, LLC; Prologis, L.P.. Joined by distance to this node's mapped position, not by point of interconnection: a plant on a long gen-tie lands on the nearest substation. Corporate names from a federal filing.
Not public: who the interconnection customers are (the queue) — CAISO's public files carry project names only; the projects table below is the full public record. EIA-860 names the owners of what already operates nearby, not of what is queued.
Do projects leave after seeing the costs?
1,971 MW (n=10)
received Phase II / Facilities Study results here · any sheet, public report
255 MW (n=3)
of that, withdrew with results in hand
0.13 (n=10)
Phase II attrition (MW share)
Not public: the network upgrade cost allocated to a project here — Phase I / Phase II study reports, served through RIMS. Ask the incumbent developer or request the report; nothing public reconstructs it.
Will you be deliverable?
150 MW (n=1)
2025 TPD requested at this node
150 MW
allocated
0 MW
refused at 0 % — contracted / shortlisted (groups A+B)
0 MW
refused at 0 % — no PPA (group D)
2 / 0
2024 cycle: projects given full / partial capacity
A 0 % in group D is the expected result for an uncontracted project; a 0 % in group A or B is a contracted project that did not get deliverability. Rows are joined through all three sheets, so a request whose project has since withdrawn still appears. CAISO states no reason.
Will the power be worth anything here?
Outside Greater Bay Area local area boundary — Tesla is out of the Greater Bay Area and out of the Stockton (Tesla-Bellota) sub-area: a bulk station outside every local area named in the report Final 2027 LCT Report [2026-04-29]
Not on this site yet: day-ahead price history at this POI — CAISO OASIS publishes it; it is shown only for a pricing node confirmed by hand in data/poi_pnodes.csv, and this one is not confirmed yet.
Will the land pass intake?
Intake scoring under the 2023 IPE rewards site control, permitting progress and system need before study begins. Parcel, zoning, Williamson Act and CEC exclusion screens run for Kings and Kern counties (caiso-siting parcels, layers screen); results are in outputs/parcels_*.md for the nodes they were run on and are not yet rendered per node here.
Not public: landowner willingness and option terms — county assessor parcels give ownership class, not intent; owner names are withheld on purpose.
How long, and who gave up?
2,000 MW (n=5)
withdrawn since 2022 (both reports)
2,000 MW
of that, storage
0.77 (n=15)
storage churn · withdrawn storage ÷ queued + operating storage
0.33 (n=8)
Cluster 15 survival · active ÷ (active + withdrawn)
3,635 MW (n=12)
all-time withdrawn since 2006 · mostly wind/solar-era; colour, not signal
2026-06-01 to 2031-10-21
current on-line dates of active projects
Cluster-level time-to-withdrawal curves are on the Survival page; they compare process regimes, not only nodes.
Projects at this node (22)
Both reports. cod = current on-line date (public report) or proposed on-line date (Cluster 15). ia_status exists only in the public report. Cluster 15 deliverability is requested, not allocated.
| project_name | queue_position | sheet_status | cluster | net_mw | storage_mw | deliverability | ia_status | cod | withdrawn_date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALTA CASA STORAGE | 1922 | ACTIVE | C14 | 500 | 500 | FULL CAPACITY | EXECUTED | 2031-10-21 | |
| Dove Cove | 2286 | ACTIVE | C15 | 500 | 500 | FULL CAPACITY (REQ) | 2031-03-14 | ||
| POTENTIA-VIRIDI | 1702 | ACTIVE | C13 | 400 | 400 | FULL CAPACITY | EXECUTED | 2028-05-11 | |
| ESPRESSO | 1912 | ACTIVE | C14 | 300 | 300 | FULL CAPACITY | EXECUTED | 2031-08-18 | |
| Galadriel | 2297 | ACTIVE | C15 | 300 | 300 | FULL CAPACITY (REQ) | 2031-03-31 | ||
| Emerita Energy Storage | 2221 | ACTIVE | C15 | 200 | 200 | FULL CAPACITY (REQ) | 2028-03-01 | ||
| MULQUEENEY RANCH WIND 2 | 1459 | ACTIVE | C11 | 60 | 0 | FULL CAPACITY | EXECUTED | 2026-06-01 | |
| MULQUEENEY RANCH WIND | 1277 | ACTIVE | C09 | 20 | 0 | FULL CAPACITY | EXECUTED | 2026-12-31 | |
| KOLA | 1275 | COMPLETED | C09 | 400 | 400 | FULL CAPACITY | EXECUTED | ||
| GOLDEN HILLS 2 WIND | 709 | COMPLETED | C04 | 36 | 0 | FULL CAPACITY | EXECUTED | ||
| CPV CALIFORNIA VIII | 236 | WITHDRAWN | SERIAL LGIP | 630 | 0 | 2011-06-01 | 2008-11-26 | ||
| Blue Oak Storage 2 | 2369 | WITHDRAWN | C15 | 600 | 600 | FULL CAPACITY (REQ) | 2031-12-31 | 2025-12-03 | |
| Tea Leaf Energy Storage | 2285 | WITHDRAWN | C15 | 400 | 400 | FULL CAPACITY (REQ) | 2030-06-01 | 2026-06-22 | |
| PATTERSON PASS GT PROJECT | 418 | WITHDRAWN | SERIAL LGIP | 400 | 0 | 2012-11-01 | 2008-11-25 | ||
| POTENTIA-VIRIDI 2 | 2284 | WITHDRAWN | C15 | 400 | 400 | FULL CAPACITY (REQ) | 2028-12-15 | 2025-05-20 | |
| WARDENCLYFFE | 1366 | WITHDRAWN | C10 | 300 | 300 | FULL CAPACITY | 2022-12-31 | 2018-04-20 | |
| Ace | 2276 | WITHDRAWN | C15 | 300 | 300 | FULL CAPACITY (REQ) | 2030-06-01 | 2025-12-02 | |
| Flamingo | 2287 | WITHDRAWN | C15 | 300 | 300 | FULL CAPACITY (REQ) | 2030-06-01 | 2025-12-02 | |
| EAST-BAY-WIND | 1354 | WITHDRAWN | C10 | 150 | 0 | ENERGY ONLY | IN PROGRESS | 2023-02-14 | 2021-05-20 |
| RIPON GENERATION | 37 | WITHDRAWN | AMEND 39 | 75 | 0 | EXECUTED | 2011-12-31 | ||
| BAY SUNSHINE HYBRID SOLAR | 1563 | WITHDRAWN | C12 | 50 | 50 | FULL CAPACITY | 2022-11-30 | 2019-07-09 | |
| COLINAS DE ORO | 1011 | WITHDRAWN | C07 | 30 | 30 | FULL CAPACITY | EXECUTED | 2021-03-01 | 2021-01-11 |
TPD allocation requests at this node (3)
CAISO Transmission Plan Deliverability allocation results, joined on queue position through all three sheets of the public report (a request whose project has since withdrawn still appears). 2024 rows carry no MW. Groups: A = executed power purchase agreement requiring FCDS, or an LSE serving its own load; B = shortlisted for, or actively negotiating, a power purchase agreement; C = already in commercial operation for the capacity seeking TP deliverability; D = no PPA; electing the Section 8.9.2.3 (financial-security) path.
| tpd_year | queue_id | project_name | allocation_group | mw_requested | allocation_pct | mw_allocated | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1912 | ESPRESSO | D | 150 | 100% | 150 | FCDSA |
| 2024 | 1922 | ALTA CASA STORAGE | B | 100% | FCDSA | ||
| 2024 | 1912 | ESPRESSO | D | 100% | FCDSA |
WDAT requests at this substation (2)
WDAT = distribution-level queue at the same substation, PG&E file today; not CAISO deliverability. WDAT requests connect below CAISO's transmission grid; they carry no CAISO deliverability unless separately studied.
| queue_position | status_raw | process | gen_type | net_mw | request_received | current_cod | ia_status | ft_over_cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3508-RD | Active | Fast Track | Solar PV | 2 | 2023-06-05 | Executed | ||
| 1574-WD | Withdrawn | Independent Study | Solar PV | 20 | 2017-08-18 | Withdrawn |
Geocode provenance
- geo_method
- exact
- geo_score
- 1.00
- osm_name
- Tesla Substation
- lat, lon
- 37.71205, -121.56474
All metrics
| metric | value | definition |
|---|---|---|
legacy_active_mw | 1,280 | active MW in the public report (C14 and earlier) |
c15_active_mw | 1,000 | active MW in the Cluster 15 report |
operating_mw | 436 | completed MW in the public report |
pipeline_storage_mw | 2,200 | storage MW inside legacy_active_mw + c15_active_mw |
operating_storage_mw | 400 | storage MW inside operating_mw (completed, public report) |
wd_recent_mw | 2,000 | withdrawn in the last 5 years (both reports) |
wd_recent_storage_mw | 2,000 | storage MW of those rows — each project's storage components capped at its net-to-grid figure; a handful of filings report net-to-grid as 0 and keep the component MW, so this can exceed the row above at 3 nodes. |
wd_post_phase2_mw | 255 | withdrew AFTER Phase II / Facilities Study results (public report only) |
p2_reached_mw | 1,971 | MW of projects that received Phase II / Facilities Study results here (public report, any sheet) |
p2_withdrawn_mw | 255 | of those, MW that then withdrew (== wd_post_phase2_mw) |
p2_attrition | 0.13 | p2_withdrawn_mw / p2_reached_mw — share of studied MW that left with results in hand |
committed_mw | 1,280 | ACTIVE MW holding an executed interconnection agreement (public report) |
churn_n | 15 | projects behind storage_churn (withdrawn recent + queued + operating) |
c15_n | 8 | projects behind c15_survival |
p2_n | 10 | projects behind p2_attrition |
eia_plants | 4 | operable EIA-860 plants within 5 km of the node's mapped position (positioned nodes only) |
eia_nameplate_mw | 408 | their nameplate MW, all technologies (EIA-860 Generator file, Operable sheet) |
eia_storage_mwh | 1,800 | battery energy capacity among them (EIA-860 Energy Storage file), as reported |
eia_storage_1h_mw | 0 | storage MW at units whose reported MWh is no more than their MW (one hour or less); shown with 'duration not established' because the value may reflect how the form was filled |
eia_proposed_mw | 82 | nameplate MW in EIA-860's Proposed sheet within the same radius (planned / under construction) |
wd_alltime_mw | 3,635 | every withdrawn MW since 2006 (includes dead wind/solar-era projects) |
storage_churn | 0.77 | wd_recent_storage_mw / (active + operating storage MW) — the one to quote |
churn_alltime | 1.34 | wd_alltime_mw / (pipeline + operating MW) — historical color only |
c15_survival | 0.33 | c15_active / (c15_active + c15_withdrawn) |
c15_fcds_req_mw | 1,000 | C15 active MW that requested Full Capacity Deliverability Status (requested, not allocated) |
tpd25_projects | 1 | projects at the node that sought TPD in CAISO's 2025 allocation cycle |
tpd25_req_mw | 150 | MW at the node that sought TPD in CAISO's 2025 allocation cycle |
tpd25_alloc_mw | 150 | MW allocated in that cycle (requested × allocation %) |
tpd25_denied_mw | 0 | MW requested by rows that received 0 % |
tpd25_unalloc_mw | 0 | requested minus allocated: MW refused outright PLUS the remainder left by partial allocations — quote this for 'what the developer did not get' |
tpd25_unknown_mw | 0 | MW requested by rows with no allocation percentage in the file; 0 today |
tpd25_req_A_mw | 0 | of tpd25_req_mw, requested in allocation group A: executed PPA (or LSE own load) |
tpd25_req_B_mw | 0 | of tpd25_req_mw, requested in allocation group B: shortlisted / negotiating a PPA |
tpd25_req_C_mw | 0 | of tpd25_req_mw, requested in allocation group C: already in commercial operation |
tpd25_req_D_mw | 150 | of tpd25_req_mw, requested in allocation group D: no PPA, Section 8.9.2.3 path |
tpd25_denied_A_mw | 0 | of tpd25_denied_mw, refused at 0 % in group A |
tpd25_denied_B_mw | 0 | of tpd25_denied_mw, refused at 0 % in group B |
tpd25_denied_C_mw | 0 | of tpd25_denied_mw, refused at 0 % in group C |
tpd25_denied_D_mw | 0 | of tpd25_denied_mw, refused at 0 % in group D |
tpd25_denied_ppa_mw | 0 | refused MW in groups A + B: contracted or shortlisted projects that did not get deliverability; the refusal that matters |
tpd24_fcdsa_projects | 2 | projects at the node allocated Full Capacity in the 2024 cycle |
lcr_status | outside Greater Bay Area | CAISO Local Capacity Area (Resource Adequacy geography): 'in <area>' or 'outside <area>' as the LCT report's boundary lists state it; blank = not encoded, never 'outside every area' |
lcr_sub_area | sub-area / load pocket within that area, when the LCT report delineates it | |
wdat_active_projects | 1 | active WDAT requests at the same substation (WDAT = distribution-level queue at the same substation, PG&E file today; not CAISO deliverability) |
wdat_active_mw | 2 | MW of active WDAT (distribution-level) requests at the same substation (PG&E file today) |
wdat_active_storage_mw | 0 | storage MW attributed from wdat_active_mw — an assumption: the PG&E file publishes one MW figure per request, so storage-only requests count in full and solar+storage requests count at half (160 of 1,011 active requests carry storage; 362 of their 479 MW is attributed as storage). |
wdat_inservice_mw | 0 | WDAT MW already in service at that substation |
wdat_withdrawn_mw | 20 | WDAT MW withdrawn at that substation (all-time in the file) |
wdat_ft_over_cap_n | 0 | active Fast Track requests above the 5 MW Fast Track ceiling — held out of wdat_active_* |
wdat_ft_over_cap_mw | 0 | MW of those held-out rows, as posted; cause not established |
No figure on this site states a cause. CAISO files carry no withdrawal reason beyond "IC Request".
Screening tool, not engineering advice. Built from public filings by an engineer who is not a licensed PE. Verify every figure against the source filing named in its row before you rely on it for any decision. No warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with CAISO, EIA, or any utility. No engineering services are offered.