LOS BANOS

MERCED (CA) · PGAE · node key LOS BANOS · CAISO run date 2026-10-12

Seven questions a developer, lender or counsel asks before filing here. Every figure is a CAISO row; Not public marks what the public files cannot answer and where to get it. Definitions: methodology.

Can you get in?

No official Cluster 16 availability statement names this POI. Absence of a statement is not availability.

Not public: per-constraint transmission headroom at this POI — CAISO's cluster study reports (RIMS login).

Not on this site yet: the zonal transmission-capability table CAISO publishes for cluster scoring — public; the join is planned.

Who is ahead of you?

2,230 MW (n=7)

queued ahead of a new request (legacy + C15)

1,830 MW (n=6)

with an executed interconnection agreement · public report; C15 has no IA yet

0 MW (n=0)

operating at this node

400 MW

Cluster 15 requests seeking full capacity

Not public: who the interconnection customers are (the queue) — CAISO's public files carry project names only; the projects table below is the full public record. EIA-860 names the owners of what already operates nearby, not of what is queued.

Do projects leave after seeing the costs?

1,930 MW (n=7)

received Phase II / Facilities Study results here · any sheet, public report

100 MW (n=1)

of that, withdrew with results in hand

0.05 (n=7)

Phase II attrition (MW share)

Not public: the network upgrade cost allocated to a project here — Phase I / Phase II study reports, served through RIMS. Ask the incumbent developer or request the report; nothing public reconstructs it.

Will you be deliverable?

100 MW (n=2)

2025 TPD requested at this node

100 MW

allocated

0 MW

refused at 0 % — contracted / shortlisted (groups A+B)

0 MW

refused at 0 % — no PPA (group D)

3 / 0

2024 cycle: projects given full / partial capacity

A 0 % in group D is the expected result for an uncontracted project; a 0 % in group A or B is a contracted project that did not get deliverability. Rows are joined through all three sheets, so a request whose project has since withdrawn still appears. CAISO states no reason.

Will the power be worth anything here?

Outside Greater Fresno local area boundary — Los Banos 230 kV and 500 kV are out of Greater Fresno and out of the Greater Bay Area; only the 70 kV bus is in Greater Fresno. Most queue POIs at this node are 230/500 kV (a minority are 70 kV and are inside) Final 2027 LCT Report [2026-04-29]

Not on this site yet: day-ahead price history at this POI — CAISO OASIS publishes it; it is shown only for a pricing node confirmed by hand in data/poi_pnodes.csv, and this one is not confirmed yet.

Will the land pass intake?

Intake scoring under the 2023 IPE rewards site control, permitting progress and system need before study begins. Parcel, zoning, Williamson Act and CEC exclusion screens run for Kings and Kern counties (caiso-siting parcels, layers screen); results are in outputs/parcels_*.md for the nodes they were run on and are not yet rendered per node here.

Not public: landowner willingness and option terms — county assessor parcels give ownership class, not intent; owner names are withheld on purpose.

How long, and who gave up?

2,645 MW (n=8)

withdrawn since 2022 (both reports)

2,645 MW

of that, storage

1.26 (n=15)

storage churn · withdrawn storage ÷ queued + operating storage

0.17 (n=7)

Cluster 15 survival · active ÷ (active + withdrawn)

2,905 MW (n=11)

all-time withdrawn since 2006 · mostly wind/solar-era; colour, not signal

2026-03-31 to 2032-09-18

current on-line dates of active projects

Cluster-level time-to-withdrawal curves are on the Survival page; they compare process regimes, not only nodes.

Projects at this node (18)

Both reports. cod = current on-line date (public report) or proposed on-line date (Cluster 15). ia_status exists only in the public report. Cluster 15 deliverability is requested, not allocated.

project_name	queue_position	sheet_status	cluster	net_mw	storage_mw	deliverability	ia_status	cod	withdrawn_date
WINGTIP SOLAR 1	1943	ACTIVE	C14	1,150	1,150	FULL CAPACITY	EXECUTED	2032-09-18
Carissalito Creek	2370	ACTIVE	C15	400	400	FULL CAPACITY (REQ)		2030-12-31
AUSTRALIS	1952	ACTIVE	C14	300	300	FULL CAPACITY	EXECUTED	2031-04-18
GONZAGA HYBRID	1718	ACTIVE	C13	104	55	FULL CAPACITY	EXECUTED	2026-03-31
LAS CAMAS 1	1382	ACTIVE	C10	100	100	FULL CAPACITY	EXECUTED	2027-12-31
LAS CAMAS 3	1456	ACTIVE	C11	100	100	FULL CAPACITY	EXECUTED	2027-12-31
GONZAGA WIND FARM	1378	ACTIVE	C10	76	0	PARTIAL CAPACITY	EXECUTED	2026-03-31
WINGTIP SOLAR 2	1944	WITHDRAWN	C14	550	550	FULL CAPACITY		2027-06-01	2023-01-30
Baca	2217	WITHDRAWN	C15	475	475	FULL CAPACITY (REQ)		2028-10-01	2025-12-01
Leopard Storage	2218	WITHDRAWN	C15	450	450	FULL CAPACITY (REQ)		2031-11-01	2025-05-29
Silkie	2345	WITHDRAWN	C15	400	400	FULL CAPACITY (REQ)		2031-12-31	2025-12-03
CRESTLEY	2347	WITHDRAWN	C15	270	270	FULL CAPACITY (REQ)		2031-12-31	2025-12-03
Copper Cloud	2346	WITHDRAWN	C15	200	200	FULL CAPACITY (REQ)		2031-12-31	2025-12-03
Mystic Ridge	2255	WITHDRAWN	C15	200	200	FULL CAPACITY (REQ)		2028-04-01	2025-12-04
LAS CAMAS 2	1383	WITHDRAWN	C10	101	0	FULL CAPACITY		2021-11-30	2018-04-18
TORANA HYBRID SOLAR	1726	WITHDRAWN	C13	100	100	FULL CAPACITY		2023-12-31	2021-03-25
LAS CAMAS 4	1960	WITHDRAWN	C14	100	100	FULL CAPACITY		2028-04-01	2025-09-04
GONZAGA RIDGE WIND FARM 2	1475	WITHDRAWN	C11	59	0	FULL CAPACITY		2020-12-21	2019-04-10

TPD allocation requests at this node (5)

CAISO Transmission Plan Deliverability allocation results, joined on queue position through all three sheets of the public report (a request whose project has since withdrawn still appears). 2024 rows carry no MW. Groups: A = executed power purchase agreement requiring FCDS, or an LSE serving its own load; B = shortlisted for, or actively negotiating, a power purchase agreement; C = already in commercial operation for the capacity seeking TP deliverability; D = no PPA; electing the Section 8.9.2.3 (financial-security) path.

tpd_year	queue_id	project_name	allocation_group	mw_requested	allocation_pct	mw_allocated	status
2025	1382	LAS CAMAS 1	A	50	100%	50	FCDSA
2025	1456	LAS CAMAS 3	A	50	100%	50	FCDSA
2024	1952	AUSTRALIS	A		100%		FCDSA
2024	1943	WINGTIP SOLAR 1	D		100%		FCDSA
2024	1960	LAS CAMAS 4	D		100%		FCDSA

WDAT requests at this substation (1)

WDAT = distribution-level queue at the same substation, PG&E file today; not CAISO deliverability. WDAT requests connect below CAISO's transmission grid; they carry no CAISO deliverability unless separately studied.

queue_position	status_raw	process	gen_type	net_mw	request_received	current_cod	ia_status	ft_over_cap
1967-WD	Withdrawn	Independent Study	Wind	121	2018-04-25		Withdrawn

Geocode provenance

geo_method: exact
geo_score: 1.00
osm_name: Los Banos Substation
lat, lon: 37.05300, -121.02051

All metrics

metric	value	definition
`legacy_active_mw`	1,830	active MW in the public report (C14 and earlier)
`c15_active_mw`	400	active MW in the Cluster 15 report
`operating_mw`	0	completed MW in the public report
`pipeline_storage_mw`	2,105	storage MW inside legacy_active_mw + c15_active_mw
`operating_storage_mw`	0	storage MW inside operating_mw (completed, public report)
`wd_recent_mw`	2,645	withdrawn in the last 5 years (both reports)
`wd_recent_storage_mw`	2,645	storage MW of those rows — each project's storage components capped at its net-to-grid figure; a handful of filings report net-to-grid as 0 and keep the component MW, so this can exceed the row above at 3 nodes.
`wd_post_phase2_mw`	100	withdrew AFTER Phase II / Facilities Study results (public report only)
`p2_reached_mw`	1,930	MW of projects that received Phase II / Facilities Study results here (public report, any sheet)
`p2_withdrawn_mw`	100	of those, MW that then withdrew (== wd_post_phase2_mw)
`p2_attrition`	0.05	p2_withdrawn_mw / p2_reached_mw — share of studied MW that left with results in hand
`committed_mw`	1,830	ACTIVE MW holding an executed interconnection agreement (public report)
`churn_n`	15	projects behind storage_churn (withdrawn recent + queued + operating)
`c15_n`	7	projects behind c15_survival
`p2_n`	7	projects behind p2_attrition
`eia_plants`	0	operable EIA-860 plants within 5 km of the node's mapped position (positioned nodes only)
`eia_nameplate_mw`	0	their nameplate MW, all technologies (EIA-860 Generator file, Operable sheet)
`eia_storage_mwh`	0	battery energy capacity among them (EIA-860 Energy Storage file), as reported
`eia_storage_1h_mw`		storage MW at units whose reported MWh is no more than their MW (one hour or less); shown with 'duration not established' because the value may reflect how the form was filled
`eia_proposed_mw`	0	nameplate MW in EIA-860's Proposed sheet within the same radius (planned / under construction)
`wd_alltime_mw`	2,905	every withdrawn MW since 2006 (includes dead wind/solar-era projects)
`storage_churn`	1.26	wd_recent_storage_mw / (active + operating storage MW) — the one to quote
`churn_alltime`	1.30	wd_alltime_mw / (pipeline + operating MW) — historical color only
`c15_survival`	0.17	c15_active / (c15_active + c15_withdrawn)
`c15_fcds_req_mw`	400	C15 active MW that requested Full Capacity Deliverability Status (requested, not allocated)
`tpd25_projects`	2	projects at the node that sought TPD in CAISO's 2025 allocation cycle
`tpd25_req_mw`	100	MW at the node that sought TPD in CAISO's 2025 allocation cycle
`tpd25_alloc_mw`	100	MW allocated in that cycle (requested × allocation %)
`tpd25_denied_mw`	0	MW requested by rows that received 0 %
`tpd25_unalloc_mw`	0	requested minus allocated: MW refused outright PLUS the remainder left by partial allocations — quote this for 'what the developer did not get'
`tpd25_unknown_mw`	0	MW requested by rows with no allocation percentage in the file; 0 today
`tpd25_req_A_mw`	100	of tpd25_req_mw, requested in allocation group A: executed PPA (or LSE own load)
`tpd25_req_B_mw`	0	of tpd25_req_mw, requested in allocation group B: shortlisted / negotiating a PPA
`tpd25_req_C_mw`	0	of tpd25_req_mw, requested in allocation group C: already in commercial operation
`tpd25_req_D_mw`	0	of tpd25_req_mw, requested in allocation group D: no PPA, Section 8.9.2.3 path
`tpd25_denied_A_mw`	0	of tpd25_denied_mw, refused at 0 % in group A
`tpd25_denied_B_mw`	0	of tpd25_denied_mw, refused at 0 % in group B
`tpd25_denied_C_mw`	0	of tpd25_denied_mw, refused at 0 % in group C
`tpd25_denied_D_mw`	0	of tpd25_denied_mw, refused at 0 % in group D
`tpd25_denied_ppa_mw`	0	refused MW in groups A + B: contracted or shortlisted projects that did not get deliverability; the refusal that matters
`tpd24_fcdsa_projects`	3	projects at the node allocated Full Capacity in the 2024 cycle
`lcr_status`	outside Greater Fresno	CAISO Local Capacity Area (Resource Adequacy geography): 'in <area>' or 'outside <area>' as the LCT report's boundary lists state it; blank = not encoded, never 'outside every area'
`lcr_sub_area`		sub-area / load pocket within that area, when the LCT report delineates it
`wdat_active_projects`	0	active WDAT requests at the same substation (WDAT = distribution-level queue at the same substation, PG&E file today; not CAISO deliverability)
`wdat_active_mw`	0	MW of active WDAT (distribution-level) requests at the same substation (PG&E file today)
`wdat_active_storage_mw`	0	storage MW attributed from wdat_active_mw — an assumption: the PG&E file publishes one MW figure per request, so storage-only requests count in full and solar+storage requests count at half (160 of 1,011 active requests carry storage; 362 of their 479 MW is attributed as storage).
`wdat_inservice_mw`	0	WDAT MW already in service at that substation
`wdat_withdrawn_mw`	121	WDAT MW withdrawn at that substation (all-time in the file)
`wdat_ft_over_cap_n`	0	active Fast Track requests above the 5 MW Fast Track ceiling — held out of wdat_active_*
`wdat_ft_over_cap_mw`	0	MW of those held-out rows, as posted; cause not established

No figure on this site states a cause. CAISO files carry no withdrawal reason beyond "IC Request".

Screening tool, not engineering advice. Built from public filings by an engineer who is not a licensed PE. Verify every figure against the source filing named in its row before you rely on it for any decision. No warranty of any kind. Not affiliated with CAISO, EIA, or any utility. No engineering services are offered.